I’ve spent a good chunk of hours working on playoff previews this week. We had every 11-man area capsule in today’s paper in case you missed it.
So my brain is a little scrambled, but I’m regrouping before I head out in a little bit for the Metroplex. I’ll be in Springtown the next two nights covering Burkburnett and WFHS.
Look for more in-depth predictions once the amount of area teams in the playoffs gets smaller. Right now, here is who I’m picking and a thought or two why.
And remember, I’ve had an off-year picking games, so much so that three area coaches asked me to pick against their team this week in the playoffs. So take these with a grain of salt if you wish:
Saginaw Boswell at Rider – I can see the Raiders moving the ball pretty easily on offense and scoring in the 40s. I can’t see Boswell coming close to matching that. Rider should win this without much suspense.
WFHS vs. Dunbar – Sure, Dunbar is undefeated but its record would be more similar to WFHS if it played the Coyotes’ schedule. I liked what I saw from the Old High defense in the first half last week against Rider, but the offense will need to step up. Dunbar wins a close, low-scoring game.
Springtown at Hirschi – I think it comes down to turnovers for Hirschi. In big games against good teams, they’ve made too many and lost. I think the Huskies will move the ball well, but they’ve got to finish off drives with touchdowns. Because I think Springtown will find the end zone a bunch, too. Could be high-scoring, but I’ll side with the Porcupines.
Burkburnett vs. Kennedale – The Bulldogs will be able to score some against Kennedale, but I don’t think it will be enough against a really potent Wing-T offense. I’m going with the Wildcats.
Graham vs. FW Castleberry – This shouldn’t be competitive at all. Steers by how many they want.
Vernon vs. Lake Worth – It looks like Lake Worth was playing better at the start of the year (the Bullfrogs lost to Gainesville by a similar score that Vernon did). I think the Lions, with a healthy Orlando Haymon, will be able to run for a boatload of yards and win comfortably.
Bowie vs. Pottsboro – It’s not an overwhelming opponent for the Jackrabbits. Pottsboro won a lot of close games in a decent district, earning the top seed. I pick the Cardinals because I can’t choose a district champ to go down to a fourth-place team, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Bowie somehow pulled this out.
Jacksboro vs. Blooming Grove – I can’t see the Tigers having many problems with this game, not the way they’ve been playing. Jacksboro by a bunch.
Henrietta vs. Mildred – I probably haven’t given enough credit to the Bearcats, who’ve won their past three games by seven points or less to take second place. I kind of like this matchup for Henrietta, which I think will be strong enough up front to move the ball and win.
Nocona vs. Tolar – Nocona’s defense has given up a good chunk of points this season (25.8). Brad Keck told me they’ve been tinkering trying to find the best schemes for their guys. So I think Tolar will score a bunch. Nocona is capable of doing that too, but the offense won’t have much room for error. I’ll side with Tolar.
City View vs. Scurry-Rosser – There’s not much difference between the second and fourth-place teams in 5-2A Division II. But there is a good bit of difference between first and third in 6-2A. If City View had finished higher and played someone else, I might like their chances more. But I think Scurry-Rosser will be able to pull away.
Quanah vs. Anson – This is one of those games where I could see Quanah surprising some people and playing Anson right down to the wire with a chance to win at the end. Or I could see them losing by 25. That’s the kind of year Quanah has had. I’ll pick Anson regardless.
Windthorst vs. Forsan – I think it’s a good matchup for the Trojans, who enter the postseason having played their best game of the year. It seems like you never know what Windthorst team will show up on a given week, but if the Trojans don’t turn it over, I think they win.
Munday vs. Roby – I like that the Moguls are playing their best football right now and have lots of postseason experience (although mainly guys watching from the sidelines). Two similar teams, but I think Munday is better.