Pigskinprep.com’s predictions, rankings

One of the helpful websites we use in our TRN high school football coverage is pigskinprep.com.

It’s a pretty dang good website that helps with schedule/playoff archives, coach records, pretty much anything. Its weekly ratings are very valuable.

It’s not free, but to me it’s worth the price of admission (and we have to pay it just like you would; this isn’t a compensation plug for it. Haha).

Dave Campbell’s Texas Football even started using pigskinprep.com for its magazine district rankings a couple years ago, which is pretty prestigious. One of the things I like looking at the most is the section titled “How would they finish?” which basically makes playoff predictions every week based on a team’s rating.

That section won’t come out until the season starts, but I thought it’d be worth sharing in today’s blog the district W/L predictions and top regional rankings for all of our area 11-man teams. Pigskinprep.com does 6-man too, but I think sixmanfootball.com’s are better for that type of football.

One trend I noticed on the preview info is a lot of stock is put into how a team fared last season. It’s probably too much, although that’s usually the case at this time of year.

So here is all the info plus a couple of my thoughts on each district. In almost exactly one week, the 2013 high school football season will be starting. Can’t wait!

District 5-4A

1. Denton Guyer            9-1 (7-0)

2. Rider                         9-1 (6-1)

3. Byron Nelson             5-5 (5-2)

4. Lake Dallas               5-5 (4-3)

5. Azle                          5-5 (3-4)

6. Brewer                      3-7 (2-5)

7. Denton                      2-8 (1-6)

8. WFHS                       1-9 (0-7)

Region I-4A ranks: 1. Denton Guyer 185.08; 2. Aledo 184.62; 3. Rider 179.84; 4. Birdville 176.43; 5. Frenship 175.88.

Thoughts: I’m not saying Rider can’t go 9-1, but man, that would be really, really impressive with its schedule. The Raiders won eight games last year in the regular season and that was with late comebacks against Denton Ryan and Amarillo. I wouldn’t pick the Coyotes to make the playoffs, but I’m not picking them last, either.

 

District 5-3A

Graham                         9-1 (4-0)

Vernon                          8-2 (3-1)

Burkburnett                   3-7 (2-2)

Iowa Park                      3-7 (1-3)

Hirschi                          2-8 (0-4)

Region I-3A ranks: 1. Stephenville 169.89; 2. Abilene Wylie 166.83; 3. Graham 166.18; 4. Kennedale 160.17; 5. Alvarado 158.18; 9. Vernon 150.69.

Thoughts: I have no idea who’s going to be the lone team left out of the playoffs. I think Hirschi will do better than two wins, though. The Huskies should have had more than two in 2012 and I think they’ll be improved. The order of the bottom three is a crapshoot; could see any of three different orders. Graham going 10-0 wouldn’t surprise me, either.

 

District 5-2A Div. I

1. Whitesboro                7-3 (6-0)

2. Pilot Point                 7-3 (5-1)

3. Boyd                         6-4 (4-2)

4. Bowie                        5-5 (3-3)

5. Callisburg                  5-5 (2-4)

6. Paradise                    1-9 (0-5)

7. Ponder                      0-10 (0-6)

Region I-2A Div. I ranks: 1. New Boston 157.70; 2. Daingerfield 153.90; 3. Farmersville 139.26; 4. Malakoff 137.20; 5. Commerce 136.93; 15. Bowie 120.96.

Thoughts: I’m cool with Bowie at the fourth spot. Not saying the Jackrabbits can’t place higher, but this district is really tough. Bowie-Callisburg in Week 10 could be for playoff spot.

 

District 5-2A Div II

1. Jacksboro                 9-1 (5-0)

2. Holliday                     7-3 (4-1)

3. Nocona                     7-3 (3-2)

4. City View                   5-5 (2-3)

5. Henrietta                   2-8 (1-4)

6. Alvord                       2-8 (0-5)

Region I-2A Div. II ranks: 1. Corsicana Mildred 146.60; 2. Jacksboro 139.67; 3. Gunter 139.05; 4. Tolar 138.41; 5. Cooper 137.54; 6. Holliday 136.28; 9. Nocona 130.20; 14. City View 114.02.

Thoughts: I’m not saying Nocona can’t finish in third and/or make the playoffs, but for as much as the Indians lost, seven wins seems high to me. I also can’t see Henrietta only winning two games again; I think the Bearcats will be improved. This district has all the makings for a tiebreaker at end of Week 10.

 

District 3-1 Div. I

1. Quanah                     9-1 (4-0)

2. Seymour                   8-1 (3-1)

3. Windthorst                 6-4 (2-2)

4. Archer City                2-8 (1-3)

5. Olney                        0-10 (0-4)

Region I-A Div. I ranks: 1. Stamford 149.58; 2. Stratford 144.49; 3. Anson 143.20; 4. Quanah 131.57; 5. Seymour 129.61; 9. Windthorst 115.48.

Thoughts: Quanah has the talent at key places to go 9-1, but it will be tough to do with the Indians’ difficult district schedule. Not much separates the top two spots in district. Surely, Olney will get a win, right? The Cubs should be better.  

 

District 8-A Div. I

1. Munday                     9-1 (5-0)

2. Muenster                   9-1 (4-1)

3. Electra                      7-3 (3-2)

4. Perrin-Whitt               3-7 (2-3)

5. Era                           3-7 (1-4)

6. Petrolia                     0-10 (0-5)

Region II-A Div. II ranks: 1. Munday 142.86; 2. Albany 141.33; 3. Muenster 137.48; 4. Hamlin 126.29; 5. McCamey 123.73; 8. Electra 114.63.

Thoughts: Munday’s ranking is just too high, which isn’t surprising based on how badly it beat teams last year. I’m not saying the Moguls can’t win district (I’m picking Muenster), but they shouldn’t be considered best team in region. And 9-1 seems pretty unrealistic even though L.J. Collier should have a great year. I also don’t see Petrolia going 0-10, either. They should win a couple games, at the very least.